Obama’s Doublespeak on
Iran
Ismael Hossein-zadeh(May
2009)
(This article was posted on many Websites, including Counterpunch.rog, Huffingtonpost.com, OpEdNews.com, Campaigniran.org, and Payvand Iran News.)
On the US-Iran relationship, President Obama seems to be talking from both sides of his mouth. From one side we hear promising messages of dialogue and a “new beginning” with Iran; from the other side provocative words that seems to be coming right out of the mouth of his predecessor, George W. Bush.
For example, on the occasion of the Iranian New Year in March, while the President expressed willingness for “engagement that is honest and grounded in mutual respect" he also warned Iran that it cannot "take its rightful place in the community of nations … through terror or arms.”
Claims that Iran
supports international terrorism or seeks to manufacture nuclear weapons were
used by the Bush administration as excuses for not negotiating with Iran.
President Obama’s occasional mimicking of those claims (which completely
disregards the expert views of both the International Atomic Energy Agency and
the National Intelligence Estimate) is likewise bound to serve as a major
obstacle in the way of a meaningful conversation with Iran.
In terms of actual policy measures, President Obama and his foreign policy team have not taken any steps to reverse or mitigate the hostile policies their predecessors put into effect against Iran.
Spearhead by Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and President Obama’s “point man” on Iran, Dennis Ross, the administration is pushing the other permanent members of the United Nations Security Council to further escalate multilateral sanctions against Iran if Tehran does not stop or limit its uranium enrichment (or nuclear-fuel production) activities. This demand is nothing short of sheer provocation because as a signatory of the Non-Proliferation Treaty (and under the supervision of IAEA inspectors) such activities are altogether within the legitimate and lawful rights of Iran.
Furthermore, by occasionally parroting George W. Bush’s
militaristic song that, concerning
This not-so-subtle threat of “regime change” in
As Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett, former National Security Council staff members, point out, “the Obama administration has done nothing to cancel or repudiate an ostensibly covert but well-publicized program, begun in President George W. Bush’s second term, to spend hundreds of millions of dollars to destabilize the Islamic Republic” [1].
This means that “the U.S. is, in effect, conducting a secret
war against Tehran, a covert campaign aimed at recruiting Iran’s ethnic and
religious minorities…into a movement to topple the government in Tehran, or, at
least, to create so much instability that U.S. intervention to ‘keep order’ in
the region is justified. Given recent events in
“A suicide-bomber blast, which occurred inside a mosque in
the city of
The Iranian government has repeatedly accused the U.S. and Israel of fomenting destabilizing covert activities across its borders. Although they deny any connection with Jundallah, the Pakistan-based terrorist organization that has claimed responsibility for a number of cross-border attacks on Iran, including the recent wave of bombings, ABC News, citing US and Pakistani intelligence sources, reported in 2007 that the terrorist group "has been secretly encouraged and advised by American officials" to destabilize the government in Iran [3].
In an interview with
National Public Radio (NPR) on the occasion of the publication of his article
in The New Yorker, titled “Preparing the Battlefield,” the renowned investigative journalist
Seymour Hersh revealed striking details of his findings on the goals of the
$400 million budgeted by the US government for covert operations inside Iran.
He provided valuable information on US military preparations to strike the
country…and on the US support for the anti-Iran terrorist organizations Jundallah
and MKO [4].
More evidence of the US involvement in the terrorist activities inside Iran came to light recently when the head of the Jundallah gang, Abdulmalik Rigi, “admitted receiving assistance from the terrorist group Mojahedin Khalq Organization (MKO),” a terrorist gang of Iranian expatriates under US protection in Iraq. There have been persistent intelligence reports of collaborations between the MKO and Jundallah in the past. But, in a significant admission, Rigi told a US-based satellite TV station…on June 2, "They [MKO] have had good intelligence collaborations with us and have provided us with much information about the activities of the Iranian regime” [5].
MKO, sheltered and
armed by the Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein, have killed thousands of Iranians
in their decades-old campaign of bombings and other terrorist activities
against Iran. After the fall of Saddam Hussein, the MKO came under the protection
of the occupying US power in Iraq. Although the US State Department officially
lists MKO on its list of terrorist organizations, it nonetheless refuses to
turn them in to Iranian authorities, as frequently requested. Nor has the US,
as the MKO custodian, put an end to its terrorist activities against Iran.
That’s why it is
safe to argue that the US is playing a crucial (though largely submerged) role
in the terrorist collaboration between Jundallah and MKO against Iran.
It is not
surprising, then, that Iranians are not thrilled by President Obama’s rhetoric
of “peace and dialogue,” as they can easily see who is pulling the strings of
the Jundallah-MKO terrorist activities from behind the scene. “What’s
going on in Iran today – a sustained campaign of terrorism directed against
civilians and government installations alike – is proof positive that nothing
has really changed much in Washington, as far as U.S. policy toward Iran is
concerned” [6].
But what is to be made of President Obama’s apparently
contradictory overtures toward
Charitable and optimistic interpretations tend to blame the President’s opponents for his doublespeak on Iran: the President does have a real plan for a genuine conversation and rapprochement with Iran; but to bring this about he has to occasionally make some tactical Iran-bashing statements in order to appease his powerful opponents lest they should torpedo his entire plan. Hence, his conflicting statements.
Whether this generous reading of the President’s mind is
true or false can never be conclusively proven. Nor can such wishful
speculations about the President’s “true” feelings or inner desires be of any
analytical value for political or policy purposes. What matters—at the end of
the day—is what he does or says—not what he quietly thinks to himself. And what
he does and says in relation to
He seems to want to eat his cake, and have it too: continuing with George Bush’s policies while employing slick rhetoric and pretending he is different! He serves as the smiley-face mask for the same militaristic policies left behind by George W. Bush and his Neoconservative handlers.
Iranians see through this fraud very clearly. For example,
Many of Obama’s fans, both at home and abroad (including, by the way, many in Iran), who were indignant of his predecessor’s unrefined personality and militaristic policies, seem to be in denial that Obama’s so-called “change” is mainly about style and rhetoric, not substance. This is true not only of foreign but also domestic policies. Just note how his neoliberal, supply-side economic response to the ongoing economic crisis is more friendly to Wall Street rackets than any other President’s in US history—President Reagan included.
A major problem with wishful interpretations of President
Obama’s conflicting statements on Iran is that they tend to perpetuate the illusion
that he can bring about meaningful change in the US policy toward Iran or, for
that matter, the broader Middle East. In reality, however, while the resident
of the White House may posture as Commander-in-Chief and tweak policy around
the edges,
These two powerful special interests are (a) the highly
influential beneficiaries of military spending and war dividends or, as the
late President Eisenhower put it, the military-industrial complex; and (b) the
equally powerful proponents of Greater Israel (from the Jordan River to the
Mediterranean coasts), known as the Israel lobby. Evidence shows that both of
these groups view their interests better served by war and geopolitical tensions
in the
There is an unspoken or tacit alliance between these two
extremely powerful interest groups: the armaments lobby and the Israel lobby.
There is no formal or legal framework for the alliance; it is largely based on
a convergence of interests on war and international convulsion in the
To say that the military-industrial complex thrives on war and militarism is to state the obvious. Arms industries and other powerful beneficiaries of war dividends need an atmosphere of war and international tensions in order to promote the sale of armaments and maintain continued increases in the Pentagon budget, thereby justifying their lion's share of the public money. Viewed in this light, unprovoked US wars abroad can been seen as reflections of domestic fights over national resources, or tax dollars.
This helps explain why since World War II powerful beneficiaries of war dividends have almost always reacted negatively to discussions of international cooperation and tension reduction, or détente.
For example, in the face of the 1970s tension-reducing negotiations with the Soviet Union, representatives of the military-industrial complex rallied around Cold Warrior think tanks, such as The Committee on the Present Danger, and successfully sabotaged those discussions. Instead, by invoking the “communist threat,” they managed to reinforce the relatively weakened tensions with the Soviet Union to such new heights that it came to be known as the Second Cold War—hence, the early 1980s dramatic “rearming of America,” as President Reagan put it.
Likewise, when the collapse of the Soviet system and the
subsequent discussions of “peace dividends” in the
Just as the powerful beneficiaries of war dividends view
international peace and stability as inimical to their business interests, so
too the hardline Zionist proponents of Greater Israel perceive peace between
But because proponents of Greater Israel, which includes the current Israeli
government, are unwilling to return to those internationally-agreed-upon
borders, they sabotage peace efforts and avoid genuine dialogue with
Palestinians. By the same token, these proponents view war and socio-political convulsion
(or, as David Ben-Gurion, one of the key founders of the State of Israel, put
it, "revolutionary atmosphere") as opportunities that are conducive
to the expulsion of Palestinians, the geographic recasting of the region, and the
expansion of
Although there is no formal agreement or treaty between the
It is no longer a secret that the major plans of the Bush
administration's jingoistic foreign policy were drawn up largely by these
think-tanks, often in collaboration, directly or indirectly, with the Pentagon,
the arms lobby, and the Israeli lobby. Although no longer as noisy as during
the heydays of the Bush administration, especially when they were cheerleading the invasion of
These think-tanks and their (somewhat disguised but still
active) Neo-conservative champions continue to serve as influence-peddling,
corrupting and, ultimately, subversive links between the armaments lobby, the
Since the late 1940s, no
The carrot-and-stick strategy of the alliance in corrupting and/or co-opting politicians is rather well known: the carrot being the money the alliance pays for their election while the stick is driving them out of office if the carrot proves ineffective. What is less known (but perhaps more dangerous) is the alliance’s tendency to resort to pernicious patriotic-blackmailing tactics against politicians who may defy its policies and priorities.
Furthermore, when the alliance is unable to influence policy within the existing parameters or premises of international relations, it would not hesitate to change (or try to change) those parameters in order to bring about the desired change in policy.
This cynical strategy includes fabrication of evidence, provocation of terrorism (often in Muslim countries or communities), and instigation of war and political tensions. It is a strategy of manufacturing “external threats to our national security,” or inventing new enemies, in order to justify war and military intervention, thereby coercing Presidents and other politicians who may otherwise resist the alliance’s tendency to militarize US foreign policy.
For example, President Jimmy Carter went to the White House
(1976) with a major agenda for international peace and stability. A key
principle on that agenda was reducing tensions and seeking harmony with the
Terrified by Carter’s proposals of tension
reduction with the
The CPD questioned the National Intelligence Estimate (NIE)’s account of the Soviet military capabilities. It charged that the NIE’s account of Soviet arms outlays was too low, and that there should be an ‘independent’ analysis. Sounding the false alarms of the Soviet threat, it came up with an alternative estimate (known as the Team B Report) of the Soviet Union’s military spending.
The Team B report ‘discovered’ a sizable error in previous NIE/CIA estimates of Soviet military outlays: the USSR was said to be spending 13, not 8, percent of its GNP on arms. Multiplying this ‘error factor’ by 10 (for the 10-year period 1970-80), it was concluded that by the end of the 1970s the USSR would have outspent the US by $300 billion [8].
Although years later it was acknowledged that the Team B Report
was bogus, it was nonetheless effectively used at the time to divert the Carter
administration from its tension-reducing negotiations with the
Evidence thus clearly indicates that, using “threats to our national
security interests,” along with subtle but unmistakable patriotic-blackmailing
tactics, champions of war and militarism successfully highjacked President Carter’s
initially-peaceful agenda soon after he arrived in the White House. His
militaristic political opponents outmaneuvered and coerced him to abandon most
of his campaign pledges. Not only was he not able to reduce the geopolitical
tensions of the Cold War atmosphere, but, indeed, in the second half of his
presidency Carter moved to revive the ephemerally-relaxed Cold War tensions of
the early-to-late 1970s and, instead, embark on a confrontational course with
the
There are striking similarities between CPD’s tactics of inventing “external threats to our national security” in order to heighten hostility with the Soviet Union in the late 1970s and the Neoconservatives’ employment of similar tactics in the early 2000s in order to pave the way for the invasion of Iraq. Just as the CPD questioned and overrode the NIE/CIA estimates of the Soviet military capabilities during the Carter administration, so too in the immediate aftermath of the heinous 9/11 attacks the Neoconservative think tanks and their war mongering operatives in and around the Bush administration overruled the official CIA assessments of Iraq’s military capabilities under Saddam Hussein, thereby justifying the invasion of that country—which drastically increased the fortunes of war profiteers.
The tried-and-true scheme of militarism, “external threats or enemies,” to instigate wars and international tensions continues to this day. Just as during the Bush administration the Neoconservative champions of war and militarism fabricated intelligence in order to justify the occupation of Iraq, so too today their counterparts in and around the Obama administration are plotting to discredit the official CIA/NIE intelligence on Iran’s nuclear plans and military capabilities in order to bring about a military assault against that country.
President Obama and his top policy makers on
Hillary Clinton is on record as having said (during her
unsuccessful bid for the White House), “we would be able to totally obliterate”
Iranians should they threaten our ally
President Obama’s appointment of Dennis Ross as the point
man in dealing with
“In conversations with Mr. Ross before Mr. Obama’s election,
we asked him if he really believed that engagement-with-pressure would bring
concessions from
It is no secret that AIPAC strongly favored Hillary Clinton
over Barack Obama in the 2008 Presidential race for the White House. Although
they failed in this bid, they succeeded in filling key foreign policy positions
in the Obama administration with their favorites: Hillary Clinton as the
Secretary of State and Dennis Ross as the point man in dealing with
Considering this team of advisors, who are not much different in their approach to Iran than their Neo-conservative counterparts of the Bush days, it stands to reason to argue that, at least in the context of the Middle East, President Obama works essentially from within the same metaphorical box of policy options as did his predecessor, President George W. Bush.
Nor is it surprising to see Mr. Obama use the same political
toolbox in his approach to
(a)
(b) Hamas is not a democratically elected government, but a
terrorist organization; Hezbollah is not a major political party in
This spurious, obstructionist narrative—borrowed without reservations from the Bush administration and its Neoconservative handlers—are bound to render President Obama’s rhetoric of “a new beginning with Iran” meaningless. It is hypocritical—as well as offensive—to talk about “a new beginning” while carrying out old policies of lies, demonization, threats and subversion.
A widely-shred view blames Iranian leaders, especially President Ahmadinejad, for the US-Israeli hostility toward Iran. What the proponents of this view overlook, however, is the fact that Iran’s nuclear issue or Ahmadinejad’s controversial statements about Israel are no more than distractions and excuses—distractions from land grabbing, and excuses for war profiteering. The US-Israeli hostility toward Iran did not start with Ahmadinejad; nor will it end after him. The military-industrial-Likud alliance is certain to quickly find other distractions and boogeymen soon after Ahmadinejad is replaced by another president, whenever that maybe.
Just as a reliable prognosis of a disease requires a sound
diagnosis, so too a sensible solution to the plague of war and militarism in
the
As I have briefly argued in this essay, two nasty viruses lie
at the root of war and geopolitical convulsion in the
These two powerful groups view
It follows that efforts to end war and geopolitical
turbulence in the
First, as the late General Smedley D. Butler pointed out
long ago, it requires “taking profits out of war and arms production” [13].
This means greatly downsizing the military-industrial complex, closing down the
nearly 800
Second, ending war and political turbulence in the Middle
East also requires ending the suffering of the Palestinian people and the
occupation of their land. All that is needed to be done here is simply to carry
out the long-standing UN resolutions regarding the Palestinian-Israeli
relations. This, of course, requires curtailment of the Likud/AIPAC power, as
well as the influence of their supporters in the
While this may appear remote and unlikely, it is bound to happen. It is simply a matter of time. I only hope that more Jewish people will wake up to the ominous trajectory of expansionist Zionism, and play a salutary role in the unfolding of this inevitable outcome. The sooner they realize and/or acknowledge (as many far-sighted and peace-loving Jews already have) that militant Zionism is a con game, headed toward a dead end, the better.
No doubt, the leaders of militant Zionism are, by and large, intelligent and politically-savvy people. But they are also short-sighted, as they seem oblivious to the fact that their project of Greater Israel remains, ultimately, hostage to the political utility and profitability imperatives of imperialist powers. They fail to realize or acknowledge that forceful conquest and occupation of the Palestinian land cannot be continued or maintained for ever; and that, as the late Albert Einstein put it, "Peace cannot be kept by force. It can only be achieved by understanding."
Ismael Hossein-zadeh, author of the recently published The Political Economy of U.S. Militarism (Palgrave-Macmillan 2007), teaches economics at Drake University, Des Moines, Iowa.
Notes
[1] Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett, “Have We Already Lost Iran,” The New York Times (May 24, 2009): http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/24/opinion/24leverett.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print
[2] Justin Raimondo, “War
With Iran: Has It Already Begun?” Antiwar.com (June 03, 2009): http://original.antiwar.com/justin/2009/06/02/war-with-iran-has-it-already-begun
[3] “ABC News
Exclusive: The Secret War Against Iran” (April 03,
2007): http://blogs.abcnews.com/theblotter/2007/04/abc_news_exclus.html
[4] “Seymour Hersh: US Training Jondollah and MEK for Bombing Preparation,” CASMII Press Release (July 8, 2008): http://www.campaigniran.org/casmii/index.php?q=node/5551
[5] “Jundullah: Jundullah
admits MKO connection,” WorldAnalysis.net
(June 02, 2009): http://worldanalysis.net/modules/news/article.php?storyid=719
[6] Justin
Raimondo, “War With Iran: Has
It Already Begun?” Antiwar.com (June 03, 2009): http://original.antiwar.com/justin/2009/06/02/war-with-iran-has-it-already-begun
[7] Jay Deshmukh, “Iran's
Khamenei slams US as Obama reaches out,” AFP
(June 4, 2009): http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5hVw2lXHuQORjSVHqm2fSSSwrQa2g
[8] James Cypher, “The Basic Economics of Rearming America,” Monthly Review 33, no. 6 (1981): 20-21.
[9] Ibid.
[10] Philip Giraldi, “Setting a Higher Standard for Making War,” Antiwar.com (May 26, 2009): http://original.antiwar.com/giraldi/2009/05/25/setting-a-higher-standard-for-making-war
[11] Flynt Leverett and Hillary Mann Leverett, “Have We Already Lost Iran,” The New York Times (May 24, 2009): http://www.nytimes.com/2009/05/24/opinion/24leverett.html?_r=1&pagewanted=print
[12] For a detailed discussion of this issue please see Chapter 6 of my book, The Political Economy of U.S. Militarism (Palgrave-Macmillan 2007).
[13] Smedley D. Butler, War Is a Racket (Los Angeles: Feral House, 1935 [2003]), 39.